AJ Gallagher
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A US landfall is not expected, but the storm could hit the Bahamas by Friday.
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Dedicated reinsurance capital is on track to increase by 8% in 2025, the broker said.
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The broker has nearly 20 years of experience in the reinsurance and retro markets.
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The US accounted for 92% of all global insured losses for the period.
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SCS can no longer be considered a "secondary" peril for the US insurance market, Steve Bowen said.
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Sources believe the market will grow gradually over years after its initial cluster of dealmaking.
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SCS losses were also above average in Q1 due to “lingering” La Niña conditions.
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Despite wildfires, reinsurers are “well positioned to maintain strong profitability in 2025”.
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The reinsurance broker said total reinsurance market capacity was up 5.3% year over year.
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The March 13-16 storms would mark the first billion-dollar US SCS event of the year.
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The anticipated portion ceded to reinsurance may reach the mid-to-high single-digit billions, it added.
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Investment in the space comes mainly from the cat bond market, Gallagher Re said.
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Redington provides services to UK pension funds, wealth managers and institutional investors.
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An unexpected shift east towards Tampa could push losses beyond $10bn.
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Francine is expected to make landfall in Louisiana tomorrow.
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Growth was driven by increased earnings and capital inflows.
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Sources said Guy Carpenter has promoted Jennifer Paretchan to succeed Mowery.
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The peril can no longer be considered secondary, according to Gallagher Re.
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Debby should be a “very manageable” storm for the (re)insurance market, it said.
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Chief science officer Steve Bowen said it was still too early to provide precise insured-loss estimates.
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The broker estimated ILS capacity reached a record $107bn as cat bond interest surged.
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The broker said it did not anticipate a slew of new entrants, with the possible exception of casualty start-ups.
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ILS capital so far is viewed by sponsors as strategic rather than essential.
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Sources said that Gallagher Re had ‘first mover’ advantage as the exclusive broker.
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Torrential rain caused flash floods in the Gulf States in the middle of April.
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The cat bond will provide coverage across multiple territories in Europe.
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The second part of the PoleStar Re issuance takes the bond's total volume to $300mn.
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Diversification in perils and regions can help the market grow.
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Insured loss for Q1 was 10% higher than the decadal average of $18bn.
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Retained earnings resulting from reduced loss activity also helped to boost ILS capital.
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Reinsurers have a "strong desire" for growth, but not at the expense of underwriting.
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This came as the broker earmarked “material softening” of minimum traditional rates on line.
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Driscoll and Lubert have been promoted to presidents.
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The vulnerability updates are the biggest driver of loss changes.
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2023 was the fourth consecutive year insured cat losses surpassed $100bn.
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The deal was brokered by Gallagher Re and provides US cyber insurance event protection.
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The head of the ILS international team at Gallagher Securities Europe expects ILS issuance in the region to grow following rises in the European Central Bank rate.
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Broker-dealers' year-ahead forecasts have undershot total final issuance in three of the last five years.
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The firm’s reinsurance leader said over-subscriptions on cat reinsurance programmes have been driven by a psychological shift.
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The broker’s 1st View report predicted that cat bond issuance should remain elevated until at least Q2 2024.
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Artex hopes the rebrand will bring greater efficiency and a higher level of service to clients
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Martin Ford joins the broker following a 26-year-stint at Gallagher Re, formerly Willis Re.
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The senior retro/specialty broker spent 26 years at Willis Re, which was acquired by Gallagher in 2021.
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Alexander will join after his competitive restrictions are up.
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Climate change is causing an upward trend in losses, but it should not be conflated with the impact of seasonal variability, according to Gallagher Re.
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The broker said that $100bn+ loss years have become the “new normal”.
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Gallagher Re’s chief science officer warned that US SCS activity will keep rising.
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Frontier’s employees, including director and co-founder Peter Brodsky and CEO Derek Winch, will remain in their current roles.
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The broker’s half-year 2023 report said reinsurers’ RoE has surpassed the cost of capital for second year running.
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The latest loss estimate is little changed from those in the reinsurance broker’s pre-landfall report Tuesday and aligns with estimates from Moody’s RMS pegging Idalia as a $6.3bn loss event.
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Loss estimates from Aon, Gallagher Re, Swiss Re and Munich Re all point to a significant component of severe convective storm losses.
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WTW is quietly sounding out market executives for a potential relaunch into reinsurance once its two-year non-compete agreement with Gallagher Re ends in December, this publication can reveal.
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The loss tally comes in 39% above the average for the 21st century.
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The firm’s 1st View report on the July renewals also flagged that an oversupply of ILW capacity may bring down attachment points relative to early 2023.
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The AJ Gallagher-owned ILS services provider is expanding its footprint globally.
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The risk-modelling expert has served at RMS for almost 19 years after joining as a graduate trainee.
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In the first quarter of the year, the total global economic loss for all natural hazards was estimated at $77bn.
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Gallagher Re is now lead and sole broker for ARC, the Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility SPC (CCRIF SPC) and the Pacific Catastrophe Risk Insurance Company (PCRIC).
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Bart Zanelli will work within Gallagher Securities, specialising in capital raising and M&A.
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The real test for cat capacity will come at the mid-year point, according to Gallagher Re.
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Global reinsurers also reported a slight deterioration of their combined ratios in 2022, with the average for the year being 95.7% compared with 94.7% in 2021.
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The specialty leader had worked at recent acquisition Willis Re since 1998.
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The executive will be charged with unifying carrier engagement and bringing together Gallagher’s offerings.
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Bay Risk will become part of Gallagher Re’s Global Programmes practice group, led by Andrew Moss.
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The appointments aim to provide clients with a product-agnostic view on accessing capital in a capacity-constrained market.
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The intermediary tallied $360bn in economic losses worldwide.
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She had served as director of underwriting at Nephila since mid-2018.
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Beazley’s $45mn first-time cyber cat bond offered all-perils coverage, though some expected early deals to start with limited scope.
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The executive said many reinsurers have secured the pricing and terms necessary to cover their cost of capital.
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The broker said the renewal had been “gruelling” for cedants.
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Most ILS firms are marking the Ian loss as a $50bn+ event, although there are exceptions.
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Jason Bolding adds to the growing team recently joined by Alexandre Delacroix and Keshav Gupta.
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How much capacity is available to meet rising cat reinsurance demands was a key theme throughout this year’s Rendez-Vous.
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Steve Bowen will work closely with the Gallagher Research Centre, which was launched just yesterday.
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The Gallagher Research Centre will be led by Tina Thomson as global head of research.
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The broker found reinsurers’ underlying RoE had improved during the period but still fell short of the cost of capital.
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The former Gallagher Re broker is the second departure from the firm in Bermuda since the Willis Re sale.
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Former Natixis banker Alexandre Delacroix will focus on a range of capital market activities.
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The broker said EPS estimates for 2023 were broadly flat due to inflation fears.
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The private deal was shelved due to investor questions over aspects of the deal, and the wider macro environment.
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Gupta moves from Axis Capital where he served for four years in the New York team.
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Its total risk transfer programme is sized at just over $9bn, down $400mn from year-end 2021.
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Rate increases are now universal in the property cat markets, the Gallagher Re executive said.
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Australia and Florida buyers faced capacity problems as inflation drives up pricing.
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The new recruit has worked for Argo, Allianz and the European Space Agency.
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he broker’s analysis found rate increases and lower cat experience contributed to strong underwriting results.
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The issuance comes as the state organisation faces possible gaps in reinsurance cover.
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The ILS platform was transferred to Gallagher Re when it bought Willis Re last year.
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Cyber reinsurance premiums may exceed those of property cat by 2040.
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In his new role, Alex Ntelekos will be responsible for supporting the growth of Gallagher Re’s public-private initiatives across the region.
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Hvidsten had worked at Willis Re since 1997, before it was bought by Gallagher, and will continue to serve as a consultant to the firm.
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Property cat rate increases this January were double those of last year and the highest since 2014.
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Some programs had to be restructured as rates hardened and capacity flowed away from cat risk in some cases.
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The deal was struck in the wake of the collapse of Aon and Willis Towers Watson’s merger.
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The watchdog had been due to announce a decision on a further inquiry by 29 November.
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Theo Norris has joined Gallagher Re as a dedicated cyber ILS broker, moving from his Aon Securities role as acting ILS assistant vice president.
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The Competition and Markets Authority will investigate whether the deal lessens competition in the UK.
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One market participant said the strategy was $250mn in size, but it is not known how much business it has so far written.
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The non-compete will not apply to ILS advisory, as takeover deal brings Willis Re Securities and Horseshoe under same parent.
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The broker has explained the rationale for its $3.25bn acquisition of Willis Re on an investor call.
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After the collapse of the Aon-Willis merger, Gallagher has successfully resurrected the deal that will catapult its reinsurance operation into the big league.
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Sources have said a deal could be signed as soon as the middle of the week, with a valuation higher than the last agreement.
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The brokers have offered to divest Willis’ largest corporate risk and broking clients to Gallagher’s Crombie Lockwood.
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RMS model update points to ‘fairly large’ rise in hurricane losses for US Northeast and Mid-AtlanticThe RMS V21 model update for North Atlantic hurricane incorporated data from recent major loss years but overall annual average losses have only risen up to 10% across the US.
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Richard Anson previously served as head of ceded reinsurance at Antares and reinsurance manager for Aviva.
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The AJ Gallagher CEO said rate increases are providing tailwinds while the M&A pipeline remains strong.