California
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The bond went on watch after Mercury said it would exceed its $150mn retention. -
The Floridian also expects to report its “best earnings quarter” for Q4 2024.
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Models will need to steepen the curve in the tail to reflect severe event frequency.
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The figure does not include specie or auto losses.
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Secondary pricing on the carrier’s Topanga Re bond partly recovered following the guidance.
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The carrier also has a $500mn excess $2.4bn aggregate protection.
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The company received over 10,100 home and auto claims as of January 27.
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Guy Carpenter said personal lines exposure would account for 85% of the aggregate loss.
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Fitch said 1Q wildfire losses could add 6% to 10% to Mercury’s CoR.
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The total includes fire and smoke damage plus living expenses for evacuees.
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The fire started Wednesday morning and is currently 0% contained.
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Most carriers paid more in homeowners’ claims than they collected in premiums.
