California
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The carrier has received more than 3,600 claims from LA wildfires. -
There are many unknown factors including insurance gaps, high-value property and damage to critical infrastructure.
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The bond is likely replacing the 2021-1 Class F bond, which matured in December.
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The anticipated portion ceded to reinsurance may reach the mid-to-high single-digit billions, it added.
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This will be the most expensive fire in the state’s history, it said.
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A $30bn industry loss would use one-third of Big Four’s 2025 cat budgets.
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ILS managers expect the losses to have some impact on future cat bond spreads.
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Sources say the Fair Plan is under-reserved, leading to the possibility of member assessment.
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The carrier is the largest writer of homeowners’ multi-peril in the state.
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The Palisades fire is estimated at $9bn-$12bn, while Eaton is $6bn-$8bn.
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Investigators are homing in on the likely causes of the incidents.
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The number of structures damaged may put the event on par with the fires of 2017 and 2018.
