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The conglomerate reported after-tax cat losses of $1.2bn related to Hurricanes Helene and Milton in 2024.
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Several Florida start-ups are poised to begin writing business this year.
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The carrier estimated January cat losses of $1.08bn, or $849mn after-tax, including the fires.
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Wildfire loss ‘serves as a strong reminder not to unwind hard-fought for rates and terms’, the executive said.
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Total combined losses for the agency’s Helene and Milton estimates stand at $31.8bn.
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The carrier said 72% of those losses occurred in personal property.
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A higher loss quantum will put a greater burden on retro programmes.
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The estimate is net of its per-occurrence reinsurance program and gross of tax.
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Insurers have paid $6.9bn in Southern California wildfire claims in the first four weeks of recovery.
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The loss aggregator has classified the fires as two separate events for reinsurance purposes.
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Wildfire is rarely singled out as an exposure that can shift portfolio outcomes.
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The fall marks this the first time in 20 years the index has been negative in January.