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The reinsurance broker said the losses will fall on the higher end of industry loss ranges.
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Mark to market investment losses and decreased capital allocation in high volatility lines are contributing to an ongoing hard market for reinsurance.
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The broking firm’s (re)insurance market update said growth in alternative capital is a now a permanent feature of the market.
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More than half of the top 20 global reinsurers maintained or reduced their natural catastrophe exposures during the January 2023 renewals.
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The broker said that capital levels should stabilise at previous levels, given a normal second half.
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The estimate is based on the impact to approximately 200 structures where RLI provided primarily homeowners’ insurance.
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Large carriers with geographic spread across the continental US will have the capital and reinsurance coverage to absorb losses related to the wildfires, according to AM Best.
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The agency put insured property values in the burn footprint at $2.5bn to $4bn, which marks an uptick compared to Moody’s estimate from last week, when the agency pegged insured losses at around $1bn.
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AM Best said market hardening was likely to continue through 2024, given global market conditions.
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Vesttoo has filed documents at the Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware that seek an automatic stay against White Rock and its putative liquidators.
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Homeowners’ and commercial insurance policies typically exclude floods, mudslides, debris flow and other similar disasters unless directly or indirectly caused by a recent wildfire.
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The loss event was flagged by European carriers in recent Q2 earnings disclosures.